Week 4
1.
Bal @ Pit
Line: Bal 2.5
Split: 53/47 Bal
Pick: ...Pittsburgh leans on Ben for its offensive production. Vick? Seems like a recipe for a Baltimore turn around. Baltimore.
2.
Jet @ Mia
Line: Jets 2.5
Split: 60/40 Jets
Pick: Everyone seems to think the Jets are the better bet here. Neither team looked like it remembered how to play defense last week...the Jets are looking to repeat their performance against Indy. In a pick'em...okay, I'll go with the Jets.
3.
Hou @ Atl
Line: Atl 6.5
Split: 80/20 Atl
Pick: Houston hasn't found its offense and Atlanta will tire out a defense that's kept on the field. Not wild about the spread, but I'll take it anyway. Atlanta
4.
Gia @ Buf Line: Buf 5.5 Split: 58/42 Bur
Pick: Two teams no one is giving much love to and both of which could matter come playoff time. Buffalo can take away the outside, which is where New York is living these days. Could be a long day for Eli if they do...and that Bills offense is moving the ball like they haven't since Kelly. I'll take the Bills, though I'm going to be watching Eli nervously. These are two teams that play very well when they execute their game plan. The Giants could as easily be 2-0.
5.
Oak @ Chi
Line: Oak 2.5
Split: 80/20 Oak
Pick: The fire sale at Chicago continues while Oakland continues to grow in confidence. This week should help. Raiders.
6.
KC @ Cin
Line: Cin 3.5
Split: 71/29 Cin
Pick: Could be a really, really good game. KC needs to prove something after two tough weeks against Denver and Green Bay. The Bengals, meanwhile, remain undefeated, though mostly against teams that aren't scaring anyone, including my Colts. A great day for either QB to make a statement. I could see this one biting me, but I'm going to stay with the hot hand and pick Cin to keep the streak going.
7.
Jac @ Ind
Line: Ind 9.5
Split: 59/41 Ind
Pick: I have no confidence in either team as they stand, but if not now, Indy, when? I'll take the Colts and the ridiculous points.
EDIT: prior to game announcement Luck will sit. So scratch that ridiculous line. Jacksonville on the points and likely the win, but definitely the points.
8.
Phi @ Was
Line: Phi 3.5
Split: 75/25 Phi
Pick: Philly did what I thought they would last week, which means this week should have everyone worried. Look for the calming of ruffled fan feathers to continue this week with an Eagles win.
9.
Car @ TB
Line: Car 3.5
Split: 83/17 Car
Pick: Carolina. Yeah, that's how much I care about this game.
lain:
10.
Cle @ SD
Line: SD 7.5
Split: 60/40 SD
Pick: I don't like this spread. It's a half point too far. Neither team is as good as they could be. But let's face it, SD has one more win than Cleveland and it was against that Detroit team I told you wasn't good enough. I'll take Cleveland to keep this closer and, if Johnny gets in, win outright.
11.
Min @ Den
Line: Den 6.5
Split: 69/31 Den
Pick: That's a big number. Hear me out. Min averages 20 scored and gives up about 17 a game. Denver averages 24 and gives up 16. And if you don't look any closer you might wonder about the line, but then you remember who the Broncos played against (Arz, Bal, KC) and who Min played (Ten, SD, SF) and it's easier to take those points. Denver.
12.
GB @ SF Line: GB 9.5 Split: 79/21 GB
Pick: Should be fun. Green Bay. I like GB by two tds.
13.
SL @ Arz
Line: Arz 6.5
Split: 83/17 Arz
Pick: A few weeks ago this one would have had ears perking up. Now that near seven isn't even worrying the money. Arizona.
14.
Dal @ NO
Line: NO 4.5
Split: 71/29 NO
Pick: I really hate this game for so many reasons. The money is crazy for New Orleans. The line suggests at least a fg win for the beleaguered Saints. I have it too close to call, so I'm going to regret this and take Dallas to smother what passes for offense in the Big Easy and maybe be the point difference maker too.
15.
Det @ Sea
Line: Sea 9.5
Split: 68/32 Sea
Pick: :rotfl: Seattle, though the line isn't as horrible as it looks.
