Shapiro thinks it is.
http://sciam.com/article.cfm?chanID=sa022&articleID=B7AABF35-E7F2-99DF-309B8CEF02B5C4D7
http://sciam.com/article.cfm?chanID=sa022&articleID=B7AABF35-E7F2-99DF-309B8CEF02B5C4D7
From the article:bob b said:
Ahh, the beauty of science. ..... There will likely be many more paradigm shifts as scientists study the natural origin of life.Yet the clues I have cited only support the weaker conclusion that RNA preceded DNA and proteins; they provide no information about the origin of life, which may have involved stages prior to the RNA world in which other living entities ruled supreme.
... Over the years, many theoretical papers have advanced particular metabolism first schemes, but relatively little experimental work has been presented in support of them. In those cases where experiments have been published, they have usually served to demonstrate the plausibility of individual steps in a proposed cycle.
... A success might demonstrate the initial steps on the road to life. These steps need not duplicate those that took place on the early Earth. It is more important that the general principle be demonstrated and made available for further investigation. Many potential paths to life may exist, with the choice dictated by the local environment.
An understanding of the initial steps leading to life would not reveal the specific events that led to the familiar DNA-RNA-protein-based organisms of today. However, because we know that evolution does not anticipate future events, we can presume that nucleotides first appeared in metabolism to serve some other purpose, perhaps as catalysts or as containers for the storage of chemical energy (the nucleotide ATP still serves this function today). Some chance event or circumstance may have led to the connection of nucleotides to form RNA. The most obvious function of RNA today is to serve as a structural element that assists in the formation of bonds between amino acids in the synthesis of proteins. The first RNAs may have served the same purpose, but without any preference for specific amino acids. Many further steps in evolution would be needed to "invent" the elaborate mechanisms for replication and specific protein synthesis that we observe in life today.
If the general small-molecule paradigm were confirmed, then our expectations of the place of life in the universe would change. A highly implausible start for life, as in the RNA-first scenario, implies a universe in which we are alone. In the words of the late Jacques Monod, "The universe was not pregnant with life nor the biosphere with man. Our number came up in the Monte Carlo game." The small-molecule alternative, however, is in harmony with the views of biologist Stuart Kauffman: "If this is all true, life is vastly more probable than we have supposed. Not only are we at home in the universe, but we are far more likely to share it with unknown companions."
Skeptic said:From the article: Ahh, the beauty of science. ..... There will likely be many more paradigm shifts as scientists study the natural origin of life.
Professor Shapiro has not given up on the ability of science to understand the principles that led to the natural origin of life. .... You have, Bob. ... That's one reason you are so anti-science.
No, he did not say that.bob b said:Here is the creationsafari commentary on the Scientific American article by Dr. Robert Shapiro:
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"... Didn’t he say their formation was impossibly unlikely?"
:rotfl: ... Hardly."... After sifting through the technical jargon, the reader is left with the strong impression that both camps have essentially falsified each other.
Do you admit that new evidence could hypothetically change your mind, meaning that you could someday regard abiogenesis as plausible?bob b said:I am continually being lectured by people that science is tentative and that new evidence may cause one to change one's mind.
All well and good.
Considering the fact that there is no evidence whatsoever that life arose supernaturally, his career choice is much more likely to lead to useful discoveries than the career of those who choose to spend their lives proselytizing unfounded supernaturalistic hypotheses.Shapiro has devoted his entire professional career to the proposition that life arose naturally.
Faith is belief despite the absence of evidence. ... Since there is plenty of evidence suggesting that life could have arisen naturally, and no evidence that life that life could have arisen supernaturally, it is clear that the supernaturalists are the ones who retain faith.It is perfectly natural under such circumstances that he would retain his faith in that proposition as long as humanly possible.
What you have to lose is your rationality.I have nothing to lose by placing my faith on the much more favorable hypothesis that life did not arise naturally bur instead was specially created by God.
You're treading on slippery back-sliding ground there, Bob!Let us just say that my tentative conclusion is that life did not arise naturally.
Bob, now that you have declared your view tentative, which means your final conclusion hinges on the evidence, not on the alleged "Word of God", what kind of empirical evidence could lead you to the view that life probably (if not certainly) arose naturally?Therefore I will place my faith in God until the very lower probability that life arose naturally is shown to be true by science.
Does the existence of weak cases imply the impossibility of strong cases?bob b said:My first brush with it was the book, The Origin of Life by Operin. I felt that his case was weak.
Later I obtained books by Shapiro and others. Their case was equally weak, actually weaker than Operin's because by this time more had been learned about cells.
Scientific abiogenesis research is in its infancy. The next few hundred years of research in this area could be very interesting.In the past 7 years research into cells has accelerated. Some of it is presented in the thread "Cell Trends Too". At the same time research into abiogenesis has shown that some once popular theories like "RNA first" are not as feasible as once thought.
Hardly. :rotfl:The net effect is that the goal of demonstrating abiogenesis has become a receding target.
What is your empirical basis for claiming that there is not even a remote possibility that life could have arisen naturally?I was kind of joshing you by suggesting that I think that there is even a very remote possibility that life arose naturally.
What makes believing in supernatural entities and forces less "moronic"?writer said:as moronic as Evolution
I really wonder sometimes why a person like Bob, who believes that, when we die, our alleged soul spends eternity with an alleged supernatural entity with a personality, would waste his short precious time on this Earth arguing with evolutionists that they should not believe that life evolved naturally, because the Genesis story is literally true, even though he has no evidence that this is the case.bob b said:I really wonder sometimes why a person like skeptic who believes that when we die that's the end of it, would waste his short precious time on this Earth arguing with Christians that they should not believe anything unless it has been proven to be true by science.
Which of course would automatically rule out ever believing in God, because he admits that science cannot deal with the question of God.
Go figure.
Evolution's not natural.14 ...life evolved naturally,
you're evidence....the Genesis story is literally true, even though he has no evidence that this is the case.
Evolution and Abiogenesis spontaneous generation,...allowing for the possibility that his Biblical fairy tales and superstitions are just that.
Life makes life.If you claim there is not even a remote possibility that life could have arisen naturally, what is your empirical basis for this claim?
More non-sense.In order to make such a bold claim, you must have an air-tight body of scientific research that confirms beyond any shadow of a doubt that the natural origin of life is impossible.
Since that's a negative, please cite the Frankenstein movies, or whatever you have, to show that life spontaneously generated.Please cite those studies that confirms with 100% certainty that life could never have arisen naturally.
And your empirical evidence for this is .... ?writer said:Inanimacy doesn't make life. Hasn't. Won't. Couldn't.
And your empirical evidence for this is .... ?Life's the origin of life.
And your empirical evidence for this is .... ?Inanimacy didn't make life. It couldn't.
He who claims that something is physically impossible should provide some empirical evidence that this is the case. ... Don't you think?Since that's a negative, ...
Did he prove that the first living entities could not have arisen through natural processes?I think Louis Pasteur disproved that maggots spontaneously arose naturally.
Indeed that's why Atheist never say God is impossible, just improbable.Skeptic said:He who claims that something is physically impossible should provide some empirical evidence that this is the case. ... Don't you think?